Cost-effectiveness of Kidney Transplantation From Donors at Increased Risk of Blood-borne Virus Infection Transmission.

BACKGROUND: Demand for donor kidneys outstrips supply. Using kidneys from selected donors with an increased risk of blood-borne virus (BBV) transmission (hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus [HCV], human immunodeficiency virus) may expand the donor pool, but cost-effectiveness of this strategy is uncertain. METHODS: A Markov model was developed using real-world evidence to compare healthcare costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of accepting kidneys from deceased donors with potential increased risk of BBV transmission, because of increased risk behaviors and/or history of HCV, versus declining these kidneys. Model simulations were run over a 20-y time horizon. Parameter uncertainty was assessed through deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Accepting kidneys from donors at increased risk of BBVs (2% from donors with increased-risk behaviors and 5% from donors with active or past HCV infection) incurred total costs of 311 303 Australian dollars with a gain of 8.53 QALYs. Foregoing kidneys from these donors incurred total costs of $330 517 and a gain of 8.44 QALYs. A cost-saving of $19 214 and additional 0.09 QALYs (~33 d in full health) per person would be generated compared with declining these donors. Increasing the availability of kidneys with increased risk by 15% led to further cost-savings of $57 425 and additional 0.23 QALY gains (~84 d in full health). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using 10 000 iterations showed accepting kidneys from donors at increased risk led to lower costs and higher QALY gains. CONCLUSIONS: Shifting clinical practice to accept increased BBV risk donors would likely produce lower costs and higher QALYs for health systems.

Economic evaluation of a mobile phone text-message intervention for Australian adults with type 2 diabetes.

Background: The rising prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Australia is a public health concern, contributing to significant disease burden and economic costs. Text-message programs have been shown to improve health outcomes for people with type 2 diabetes, however they remain underutilized, and no evidence exists on their cost-effectiveness or costs of scale up to a population level in Australia. This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility of a 6-month text-message intervention (DTEXT) to improve glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and self-management behaviors for Australian adults with type 2 diabetes. Methods: A within-trial economic evaluation was conducted on the DTEXT randomized controlled trial. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were determined per 11 mmol/mol (1%) reduced HbA1c and per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained, compared to usual care. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEAC) determined the probability of the intervention being cost-effective over a range of willingness to pay thresholds. A scenario analysis was conducted to determine how cost-effectiveness was impacted by using current implementation costs. Results: The DTEXT intervention cost AU$36 (INT$24) per participant, with an ICER of AU$311 (INT$211) per 11 mmol/mol (1%) reduced HbA1c. Based on HbA1c outcomes, DTEXT had a 33% probability of being effective and cost-saving. Based on the QALY outcomes, the intervention had only a 24% probability of being cost-effective. Scenario analysis indicated costs per participant of AU$13 (INT$9) to deliver the intervention, with a reduced incremental cost effectiveness ratio of AU$151 (INT$103) per 11 mmol/mol (1%) reduced HbA1c and a 38% probability of being effective and cost-saving. Conclusions: DTEXT was low cost and potentially scalable, but only had a low to moderate probability of being effective and cost saving. Further research should determine more targeted approaches that may improve cost-effectiveness. Trial Registration: ACTRN12617000416392.

Adalimumab originator versus adalimumab biosimilars in inflammatory bowel disease in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Biosimilar adalimumabs have improved treatment access, but without any clinical advantage, distributors rely on delivery device design-enhancements, support services, and removal of painful excipients to capture market share. Prescribers, however, are often unaware of these differences. This article compares and contrasts originator versus biosimilar adalimumab agents to identify key differences that might influence adalimumab selection. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We reviewed listed adalimumab biosimilars in Australia and compared them to the originator adalimumab. Similarities and differences identified were confirmed with the manufacturers via two rounds of interviews: the first to collate a list of features and benefits of their product, and the second to consolidate and confirm the data. RESULTS: The originator adalimumab Humira [by AbbVie, U.S.A] and four adalimumab biosimilars (Amgevita [by Amgen, U.S.A], Hadlima [by Organon, U.S.A], Hyrimoz [by Sandoz, Switzerland], and Idacio [by Fresenius Kabi, Germany]) are included in this review. Key differences identified include product formulation, dosages available, delivery devices, physician support, patient support, and the supply of other biosimilar products by the company. CONCLUSION: Adalimumab biosimilars are different from each other with unique advantages and disadvantages likely to influence prescriber and patients. Therefore, the choice of agent should be individualized to the needs of the patient and the healthcare service.

Acceptability, feasibility and preliminary impact evaluation of a pilot text-message study on improving the health of Aboriginal people with, or at risk of, chronic disease in Australia.

ISSUE ADDRESSED: Aboriginal people experience higher rates of chronic disease than other Australians, largely due to modifiable risk factors. This study aimed to evaluate the acceptability, feasibility and preliminary impact of a pilot text-message program on improving the health of Aboriginal people with, or at risk of, chronic disease. METHODS: A before and after study using a convenience sample of Aboriginal Australian adults determined the impact of a 6-month healthy lifestyle text-message intervention on lifestyle behavioural measures including nutrition, physical activity and smoking. Process evaluation of participants and program facilitators determined program acceptability and feasibility. RESULTS: Twenty Aboriginal people enrolled in the study, with high study completion and program acceptability. The two program facilitators reported the low-cost automated text-message program to be highly acceptable, feasible to deliver and led to environmental program changes. Preliminary impact data showed significant improvements in vegetable consumption at 3 and 6 months, but not for other health outcome measures. CONCLUSIONS: The text-message program was highly acceptable and feasible to deliver, and has potential as an adjunct to usual care. Further research is required to determine program efficacy with a larger sample size. SO WHAT?: Text-messages to improve the health of Aboriginal people are highly acceptable, feasible to deliver and can complement existing community-led group programs. Further testing of this low-cost program is warranted to determine program efficacy.

Notifiable Infectious Diseases Among Organ Transplant Recipients: A Data-Linked Cohort Study, 2000-2015.

Background: Infections, including common communicable infections such as influenza, frequently cause disease after organ transplantation, although the quantitative extent of infection and disease remains uncertain. Methods: A cohort study was conducted to define the burden of notifiable infectious diseases among all solid organ recipients transplanted in New South Wales, Australia, 2000-2015. Data linkage was used to connect transplant registers to hospital admissions, notifiable diseases, and the death register. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) were calculated relative to general population notification rates, accounting for age, sex, and calendar year. Infection-related hospitalizations and deaths were identified. Results: Among 4858 solid organ recipients followed for 39 183 person-years (PY), there were 792 notifications. Influenza was the most common infection (532 cases; incidence, 1358 [95% CI, 1247-1478] per 100 000 PY), highest within 3 months posttransplant. Next most common was salmonellosis (46 cases; incidence, 117 [95% CI, 87-156] per 100 000 PY), then pertussis (38 cases; incidence, 97 [95% CI, 71-133] per 100 000 PY). Influenza and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) showed significant excess cases compared with the general population (influenza SIR, 8.5 [95% CI, 7.8-9.2]; IPD SIR, 9.8 [95% CI, 6.9-13.9]), with high hospitalization rates (47% influenza cases, 68% IPD cases) and some mortality (4 influenza and 1 IPD deaths). By 10 years posttransplant, cumulative incidence of any vaccine-preventable disease was 12%, generally similar by transplanted organ, except higher among lung recipients. Gastrointestinal diseases, tuberculosis, and legionellosis had excess cases among transplant recipients, although there were few sexually transmitted infections and vector-borne diseases. Conclusions: There is potential to avoid preventable infections among transplant recipients with improved vaccination programs, health education, and pretransplant donor and recipient screening.

Perceived Versus Verified Cancer History and Missed Opportunities for Donation in an Australian Cohort of Potential Deceased Solid Organ Donors.

BACKGROUND: There is an imperative to maximize donation opportunities given ongoing organ shortages, but donor suitability assessments can be challenging. METHODS: We analyzed an Australian cohort of potential deceased donors 2010 to 2013 to explore misclassification of cancer risk and potential strategies for improvement (decision support, real-time data linkage to existing data sets, and increasing risk tolerance). Cancer history perceived at referral was compared with verified cancer history in linked health records. Transmission risks were based on clinical guidelines. Potential donors declined due to cancer but verified low risk were missed opportunities; those accepted but verified high risk were excess-risk donors. RESULTS: Among 472 potentially suitable donor referrals, 132 (28%) were declined because of perceived transmission risk and 340 (72%) donated. Assuming a low-risk threshold, there were 38/132 (29%) missed opportunities and 5/340 (1%) excess-risk donors. With decision support, there would have been 5 (13%) fewer missed opportunities and 2 (40%) more excess-risk donors; with real-time data linkage, 6 (16%) fewer missed opportunities and 2 (40%) fewer excess-risk donors; and with increased risk tolerance, 6 (16%) fewer missed opportunities and 11 (220%) more excess-risk donors. CONCLUSIONS: Potential donors' cancer history is typically incomplete at referral. There are missed opportunities where decision support or more accurate cancer history could safely increase organ donors.

An update on fecal microbiota transplantation for the treatment of gastrointestinal diseases.

Our understanding of the microbiome and its implications for human health and disease continues to develop. Fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) is now an established treatment for recurrent Clostridioides difficile infection. There is also increasing evidence for the efficacy of FMT in inducing remission for mild-moderate ulcerative colitis. However, for other indications, data for FMT are limited, with randomized controlled trials rare, typically small and often conflicting. Studies are continuing to explore the role of FMT for many other conditions, including Crohn's disease, functional gut disorders, metabolic syndrome, modulating responses to chemotherapy, eradication of multidrug resistant organisms, and the gut-brain axis. In light of safety, logistical, and regulatory challenges, there is a move to standardized products including narrow spectrum consortia. However, the mechanisms underpinning FMT remain incompletely understood, including the role of non-bacterial components, which may limit success of novel microbial approaches.

Characteristics and Donation Outcomes of Potential Organ Donors Perceived to Be at Increased Risk for Blood-borne Virus Transmission: An Australian Cohort Study 2010-2018.

BACKGROUND: Safely increasing organ donation to meet need is a priority. Potential donors may be declined because of perceived blood-borne virus (BBV) transmission risk. With hepatitis C (HCV) curative therapy, more potential donors may now be suitable. We sought to describe potential deceased donors with increased BBV transmission risk. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study of all potential organ donors referred in NSW, Australia, 2010-2018. We compared baseline risk potential donors to potential donors with increased BBV transmission risk, due to history of HIV, HCV or hepatitis B, and/or behavioral risk factors. RESULTS: There were 624 of 5749 potential donors (10.9%) perceived to have increased BBV transmission risk. This included 298 of 5749 (5.2%) with HCV (including HBV coinfections) and 239 of 5749 (4.2%) with increased risk behaviors (no known BBV). Potential donors with HCV and those with increased risk behaviors were younger and had fewer comorbidities than baseline risk potential donors (P < 0.001). Many potential donors (82 with HCV, 38 with risk behaviors) were declined for donation purely because of perceived BBV transmission risk. Most were excluded before BBV testing. When potential donors with HCV did donate, they donated fewer organs than baseline risk donors (median 1 versus 3, P < 0.01), especially kidneys (odds ratio 0.08, P < 0.001) and lungs (odds ratio 0.11, P = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Many potential donors were not accepted because of perceived increased BBV transmission risk, without viral testing, and despite otherwise favorable characteristics. Transplantation could be increased from potential donors with HCV and/or increased risk behaviors.

Cancer transmissions and non-transmissions from solid organ transplantation in an Australian cohort of deceased and living organ donors.

Evidence on cancer transmission from organ transplantation is poor. We sought to identify cases of cancer transmission or non-transmission from transplantation in an Australian cohort of donors and recipients. We included NSW solid organ deceased donors 2000-2012 and living donors 2004-2012 in a retrospective cohort using linked data from the NSW Biovigilance Register (SAFEBOD). Central Cancer Registry (CCR) data 1972-2013 provided a minimum one-year post-transplant follow-up. We identified cancers in donors and recipients. For each donor-recipient pair, the transmission was judged likely, possible, unlikely, or excluded using categorization from international guidelines. In our analysis, transmissions included those judged likely, while those judged possible, unlikely, or excluded were non-transmissions. In our cohort, there were 2502 recipients and 1431 donors (715 deceased, 716 living). There were 2544 transplant procedures, including 1828 (72%) deceased and 716 (28%) living donor transplants. Among 1431 donors, 38 (3%) had past or current cancer and they donated to 68 recipients (median 6.7-year follow-up). There were 64 (94%) non-transmissions, and 4 (6%) transmissions from two living and two deceased donors (all kidney cancers discovered during organ recovery). Donor transmitted cancers are rare, and selected donors with a past or current cancer may be safe for transplantation.

Effectiveness and acceptability of a text message intervention (DTEXT) on HbA1c and self-management for people with type 2 diabetes. A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: Determine the effectiveness and acceptability of a text message intervention (DTEXT) on HbA1c and self-management behaviors for Australian adults with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Using intention to treat analysis and generalized estimating equations, this randomized controlled trial of 395 adults determined change in HbA1c at 3 and 6 months between the intervention and control group. Secondary outcomes included change in nutrition, physical activity, blood lipid profile, body mass index, quality of life, self-efficacy, medication taking and program acceptability. RESULTS: No significant difference was observed between the intervention or control group for HbA1c at 3 months (P = 0.23) or 6 months (P = 0.22). Significant improvements were seen in consumption of vegetables at 3 months (P < 0.001) and 6 months (P = 0.04); fruit at 3 months (P = 0.046) and discretionary sweet foods at 3 months (P = 0.02). No other significant effects seen. The intervention demonstrated high rates of acceptability (94.0%) and minimal withdrawal (1.5%). CONCLUSIONS: DTEXT was an acceptable text message intervention that improved some nutritional behaviors in people with type 2 diabetes, but did not significantly improve HbA1c or other outcomes. Further research is required to optimize DTEXT. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: DTEXT provides an acceptable, feasible form of self-management support that may complement existing diabetes care.

New blood-borne virus infections among organ transplant recipients: An Australian data-linked cohort study examining donor transmissions and other HIV, hepatitis C and hepatitis B notifications, 2000-2015.

BACKGROUND: Blood-borne viral infections can complicate organ transplantation. Systematic monitoring to distinguish donor-transmitted infections from other new infections post transplant is challenging. Administrative health data can be informative. We aimed to quantify post-transplant viral infections, specifically those transmitted by donors and those reactivating or arising new in recipients. METHODS: We linked transplant registries with administrative health data for all solid organ donor-recipient pairs in New South Wales, Australia, 2000-2015. All new recipient notifications of hepatitis B (HBV), C (HCV), or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) after transplant were identified. Proven/probable donor transmissions within 12 months of transplant were classified using an international algorithm. RESULTS: Of 2120 organ donors, there were 72 with a viral infection (9/72 active, 63/72 past). These 72 donors donated to 173 recipients, of whom 24/173 already had the same infection as their donor, and 149/173 did not, so were at risk of donor transmission. Among those at risk, 3/149 recipients had proven/probable viral transmissions (1 HCV, 2 HBV); none were unrecognized by donation services. There were no deaths from transmissions. There were no donor transmissions from donors without known blood-borne viruses. An additional 68 recipients had new virus notifications, of whom 2/68 died, due to HBV infection. CONCLUSION: This work confirms the safety of organ donation in an Australian cohort, with no unrecognized viral transmissions and most donors with viral infections not transmitting the virus. This may support targeted increases in donation from donors with viral infections. However, other new virus notifications post transplant were substantial and are preventable. Data linkage can enhance current biovigilance systems.

Effect of language and country of birth on the consent process and medical suitability of potential organ donors; a linked-data cohort study 2010-2015.

PURPOSE: Australia has unmet need for transplantation. We sought to assess the impact of cultural and linguistic diversity (CALD) on family consent and medical suitability for organ donation. METHOD: Cohort study of New South Wales donor referrals, 2010-2015. Logistic regression estimated effects of primary language other than English and birthplace outside Australia (odds ratios OR, with 95% confidence intervals, 95%CI). Outcomes were whether families were asked for consent to donation, provided consent for donation, and whether the referral was medically suitable for donation. RESULTS: Of 2977 organ donor referrals, a similar proportion of families had consent for donation was sought between non-English speakers and English speakers (p = .07), and between overseas-born compared to Australian-born referrals (p = .3). However, consent was less likely to be given for both non-English speakers than English speakers (OR 0.44, 95%CI:0.29-0.67), and those overseas-born than Australian-born (OR 0.54, 95%CI:0.41-0.72). For referrals both overseas-born and non-English speaking, families were both less likely to be asked for consent (OR 0.67; 95%CI:0.49-0.91) or give consent (OR 0.24; 95%CI0.16-0.37). There was no difference in medical suitability between English speakers and non-English speakers (p = .6), or between Australian-born and overseas-born referrals (p = .6). CONCLUSION: Intervention to improve consent rates from CALD families may increase donation.

Epidemiology and Comorbidity Burden of Organ Donor Referrals in Australia: Cohort Study 2010-2015.

Increasing organ donation rates in Australia have been exceeded by a rise in potential donor referrals not proceeding to donate. Referral evaluation is resource-intensive. We sought to characterize organ donor referrals in New South Wales, Australia, and identify predictors of referrals not proceeding to donation. METHODS: We performed a cohort study of NSW Organ and Tissue Donation Service logs 2010-2015, describing the prevalence and impact of comorbidities on referral outcome. Logistic regression was used to identify comorbidities influencing outcome and predict probability of donation. RESULTS: Of 2977 referrals, 669 (22%) donated and 2308 (78%) did not. Despite increasing donation rates, the proportion proceeding to donate declined 2010-2015. Among referrals, the prevalence of all comorbidities except cerebrovascular disease increased and was higher among nondonors. History of cardiac disease, ≥65 years of age, chronic kidney or liver disease, malignancy, and absence of cerebrovascular disease were all significantly (P < 0.01) associated with non donation. Hypertension and diabetes did not significantly impact outcome. Predicted probability of donation varied from <1% to 54% depending on comorbidity burden of the referral. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity burden among donor referrals is increasing. The presence of particular comorbidities may significantly impact referral outcome. A better understanding of referral characteristics associated with non donation may improve the efficiency of the referral process in the context of encouraging routine referrals.

Residual risk of infection with blood-borne viruses in potential organ donors at increased risk of infection: systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence and incidence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and hepatitis B virus (HBV) among people at increased risk of infection in Australia; to estimate the residual risk of infection among potential solid organ donors in these groups when their antibody and nucleic acid test results are negative. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis of reports of the incidence and prevalence of HIV, HCV, and HBV in groups at increased risk of infection in Australia. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, government and agency reports, Australasian Society for HIV, Viral Hepatitis and Sexual Health Medicine conference abstracts, the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry, and National Health and Medical Research Council grants published 1 January 2000 - 14 February 2019; personal communications. DATA SYNTHESIS: Residual risk of HIV infection was highest among men who have sex with men (4.8 [95% CI, 2.7-6.9] per 10 000 antibody-negative persons; 1.5 [95% CI, 0.9-2.2] per 10 000 persons who are both antibody- and nucleic acid-negative). Residual risk of HCV infection was highest among injecting drug users (289 [95% CI, 191-385] per 10 000 antibody-negative persons; 20.9 [95% CI, 13.8-28.0] per 10 000 antibody- and nucleic acid-negative persons). Residual risk for HBV infection was highest among injecting drug users (98.6 [95% CI, 36.4-213] per 10 000 antibody-negative people; 49.4 [95% CI, 18.2-107] per 10 000 persons who were also nucleic acid-negative). CONCLUSIONS: Absolute risks of window period viral infections are low in people from Australian groups at increased risk but with negative viral test results. Accepting organ donations by people at increased risk of infection but with negative viral test results could be considered as a strategy for expanding the donor pool. REGISTRATION: International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO), CRD42017069820.

DTEXT - text messaging intervention to improve outcomes of people with type 2 diabetes: protocol for randomised controlled trial and cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes prevalence is rapidly increasing, with type 2 diabetes predicted to be the leading contributor of non-communicable disease in Australia by 2020. It is anticipated that rates of type 2 diabetes will continue to increase if factors such as overweight and obesity, low physical activity and poor nutrition are not addressed. The majority of Australians with type 2 diabetes do not meet the guidelines for optimal diabetes management, and access to diabetes education is limited. This highlights the need for new interventions that can reduce existing barriers to diabetes education, attain greater population reach and support self-management strategies for people with type 2 diabetes. Mobile phone text messages have shown promising results as an intervention for people with chronic disease. They have the ability to achieve high levels of engagement and broad population reach, whilst requiring minimal resources. There is however, no evidence on the effect of text messaging to improve the health of people with type 2 diabetes in Australia. METHODS/DESIGN: This randomised controlled trial aims to investigate if a 6 month text message intervention (DTEXT) can lead to improvements in glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and diabetes self-management among Australian residents in New South Wales (NSW) with type 2 diabetes. Community dwelling adults (n = 340) will be recruited with the primary outcome being change in HbA1c at 6 months. Secondary outcomes include behaviour change for diabetes self-management, self-efficacy, quality of life and intervention acceptability. An economic evaluation will be conducted using a funder plus patient perspective. DISCUSSION: This study will provide evidence on the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of a text message intervention to reduce HbA1c and enhance self-management of type 2 diabetes in the Australian population. If successful, this intervention could be used as a model to complement and extend existing diabetes care in the Australian health care system. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The study has been registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, Trial ID: ACTRN12617000416392 . Registered: 23 March 2017.

Infectious Disease Transmission in Solid Organ Transplantation: Donor Evaluation, Recipient Risk, and Outcomes of Transmission.

In 2016, the Transplantation Society of Australia and New Zealand, with the support of the Australian Government Organ and Tissue authority, commissioned a literature review on the topic of infectious disease transmission from deceased donors to recipients of solid organ transplants. The purpose of this review was to synthesize evidence on transmission risks, diagnostic test characteristics, and recipient management to inform best-practice clinical guidelines. The final review, presented as a special supplement in Transplantation Direct, collates case reports of transmission events and other peer-reviewed literature, and summarizes current (as of June 2017) international guidelines on donor screening and recipient management. Of particular interest at the time of writing was how to maximize utilization of donors at increased risk for transmission of human immunodeficiency virus, hepatitis C virus, and hepatitis B virus, given the recent developments, including the availability of direct-acting antivirals for hepatitis C virus and improvements in donor screening technologies. The review also covers emerging risks associated with recent epidemics (eg, Zika virus) and the risk of transmission of nonendemic pathogens related to donor travel history or country of origin. Lastly, the implications for recipient consent of expanded utilization of donors at increased risk of blood-borne viral disease transmission are considered.

Hepatitis Transmission Risk in Kidney Transplantation (the HINT study): A Cross-Sectional Survey of Transplant Clinicians in Australia and New Zealand.

BACKGROUND: Interpreting hepatitis serology and virus transmission risk in transplantation can be challenging. Decisions must balance opportunity to transplant against potential infection transmission. We aimed to survey understanding among the Australian and New Zealand medical transplant workforce of hepatitis risk in kidney donors and recipients. METHODS: An anonymous, self-completed, cross-sectional survey was distributed via electronic mailing lists to Australian and New Zealand clinicians involved in kidney transplantation (2014-2015). We compared interpretation of clinical scenarios with paired donor and recipient hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus serology to recommendations in clinical practice guidelines. We used logistic regression modeling to investigate characteristics associated with decisions on transplant suitability in scenarios with poor (<50%) guideline concordance (odds ratios [OR]). RESULTS: One hundred ten respondents had representative workforce demographics: most were male (63%) nephrologists (74%) aged 40 to 49 years. Although donor and recipient hepatitis status was largely well understood, transplant suitability responses varied among respondents. For a hepatitis B virus surface antigen-positive donor and vaccinated recipient, 44% suggested this was unsuitable for transplant (guideline concordant) but 35% suggested this was suitable with prophylaxis (guideline divergent). In 4 scenarios with transplant suitability guideline concordance less than 50%, acute transplant care involvement predicted guideline concordant responses (OR, 1.69; P = 0.04). Guideline concordant responses were chosen less by hepatologists, intensive care doctors (OR, 0.23, 0.35, respectively; P = 0.01), and New Zealanders (guideline concordant responses OR, 0.17; P < 0.01; alternative responses OR, 4.31; P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Despite broadly consistent interpretations of hepatitis serology, transplant suitability decisions varied and often diverged from guidelines. Improved decision support may reduce clinician variability.

The pattern of complaints about Australian wind farms does not match the establishment and distribution of turbines: support for the psychogenic, 'communicated disease' hypothesis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: With often florid allegations about health problems arising from wind turbine exposure now widespread, nocebo effects potentially confound any future investigation of turbine health impact. Historical audits of health complaints are therefore important. We test 4 hypotheses relevant to psychogenic explanations of the variable timing and distribution of health and noise complaints about wind farms in Australia. SETTING: All Australian wind farms (51 with 1634 turbines) operating 1993-2012. METHODS: Records of complaints about noise or health from residents living near 51 Australian wind farms were obtained from all wind farm companies, and corroborated with complaints in submissions to 3 government public enquiries and news media records and court affidavits. These are expressed as proportions of estimated populations residing within 5 km of wind farms. RESULTS: There are large historical and geographical variations in wind farm complaints. 33/51 (64.7%) of Australian wind farms including 18/34 (52.9%) with turbine size >1 MW have never been subject to noise or health complaints. These 33 farms have an estimated 21,633 residents within 5 km and have operated complaint-free for a cumulative 267 years. Western Australia and Tasmania have seen no complaints. 129 individuals across Australia (1 in 254 residents) appear to have ever complained, with 94 (73%) being residents near 6 wind farms targeted by anti wind farm groups. The large majority 116/129(90%) of complainants made their first complaint after 2009 when anti wind farm groups began to add health concerns to their wider opposition. In the preceding years, health or noise complaints were rare despite large and small-turbine wind farms having operated for many years. CONCLUSIONS: The reported historical and geographical variations in complaints are consistent with psychogenic hypotheses that expressed health problems are "communicated diseases" with nocebo effects likely to play an important role in the aetiology of complaints.